Louisville
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 85.9351Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 10-11 214 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 11-16 218 H Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 9- 5 222 A North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 3-24 225 H Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 20-13 228 H Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 10-13 304 H Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 15- 5 312 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 11-10 314 A Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 14-16 321 H California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 12- 5 325 H Vanderbilt AAC ( 8- 9, 85.2) 5- 4 328 H Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 10-12 404 A Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 5-22 411 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 14-15 416 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 3-18
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 H Ohio State 10-11 -1 -3 1.79
214 A Virginia Tech 11-16 -5 -3 - -2.44
218 H Kent State 9- 5 4 11 --- -7.45
222 A North Carolina 3-24 -21 -15 0.00
225 H Canisius 20-13 7 6 0.84
228 H Syracuse 10-13 -3 -6 + 2.78
304 H Florida State 15- 5 10 5 ++ 5.45
312 A Cincinnati 11-10 1 2 -0.60
314 A Duke 14-16 -2 -6 ++ 4.40
321 H California 12- 5 7 4 + 2.51
325 H Vanderbilt 5- 4 1 2 -1.11
328 H Virginia 10-12 -2 -3 1.25
404 A Stanford 5-22 -17 -11 - -2.65
411 H Pittsburgh 14-15 -1 -1 0.40
416 A Notre Dame 3-18 -15 -9 -- -5.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Kent State 9- 5 4 11 --- -7.45 416 A Notre Dame 3-18 -15 -9 -- -5.19 214 A Virginia Tech 11-16 -5 -3 - -2.44 404 A Stanford 5-22 -17 -11 - -2.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Florida State 15- 5 10 5 ++ 5.45 314 A Duke 14-16 -2 -6 ++ 4.40 228 H Syracuse 10-13 -3 -6 + 2.78 321 H California 12- 5 7 4 + 2.51 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 10-11 -9.80 30.36 -1.37 1.15 -6.45
3 A Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 11-16 -12.77 27.39 1.37 1.15 -6.59
3 H Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 9- 5 -24.04 16.12 -1.37 1.15 34.09
3 A North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 3-24 -0.00 40.17 1.37 1.15 -0.79
3 H Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 20-13 -18.75 21.42 -1.37 1.15 46.31
3 H Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 10-13 -6.81 33.36 -1.37 1.15 -4.72
3 H Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 15- 5 -17.14 23.02 -1.37 1.15 50.02
3 A Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 11-10 -16.93 23.23 1.37 1.15 56.82
3 A Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 14-16 -8.94 31.23 1.37 1.15 -4.37
3 H California ( 6-11, 82.8) 12- 5 -17.08 23.08 -1.37 1.15 50.16
3 H Vanderbilt ( 8- 9, 85.2) 5- 4 -14.71 25.46 -1.37 1.15 55.64
3 H Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 10-12 -9.34 30.82 -1.37 1.15 -6.19
3 A Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 5-22 -3.98 36.19 1.37 1.15 -1.51
3 H Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 14-15 -11.19 28.97 -1.37 1.15 -7.25
3 A Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 3-18 -6.52 33.65 1.37 1.15 -2.98
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252.18
|
winning pts = 293.0279 losing points = -40.8450
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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